• Rapidcreek@lemmy.worldOP
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    67
    ·
    25 days ago

    Trump can’t win with only 58 percent of the Republican vote. He needs somewhere in area of at least 80 - 90 percent. I see this survey result as good news.

      • Rapidcreek@lemmy.worldOP
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        11
        ·
        25 days ago

        This isn’t a poll of all voters, it’s a poll of Republican voters. Interpret it as you wish, but you have no evidence that it doesn’t mean shit.

            • Nurse_Robot@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              22
              ·
              24 days ago

              I paid attention to the polls in 2016 and thought Trump didn’t stand a chance, so I voted 3rd party like I always do. I was wrong. I no longer pay attention to polls.

              • frezik@midwest.social
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                4
                ·
                edit-2
                24 days ago

                I paid attention to polls, as well. They swung wildly around as the news cycle shifted between bad news for Trump and bad news for Hillary. Then, Comey’s letter drops at the perfect time (deliberate or not) to bring Hillary’s numbers just low enough to give Trump an edge in key states. That happened too late for any new polls to absorb the info before the election.

                When Fivethirtyeight.com was giving around 75% chance for a Hillary victory, that doesn’t mean her victory was assured. It means Trump needed to flip two coins and have them both come up heads.

                Polls aren’t useless. They are a statistical tool. People applied them badly.

                • Jumpingspiderman@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  ·
                  24 days ago

                  Comey’s stunt was deliberate AF. And it was an unforgivable crime that likely leads to the US becoming a dictatorship. If I were in Comey’s presence, I’d spit in his face for what he did.

              • Rapidcreek@lemmy.worldOP
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                24 days ago

                Well good for you, but this poll isn’t about the general. It is no different than opinion surveys taken every day. It has nothing to do with the electoral college.

        • jhymesba@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          24 days ago

          His message here is that Republicans can SAY whatever they want to to pollsters, and there’s a movement out on Team Pepe to do just that.

          “We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality, judiciously, as you will, we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors, and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do.”

          Never forget that.