The last time a single party held the presidency for more than 12 years was when FDR won 4 times. Prior to that it was civil war reconstruction.
Keeping the white house from 2020-2040 would be the longest single party streak without one president occupying the office more than 8 years. 3 consecutive Democrats would need to win. Ignoring the Democratic Republican steak at the beginning of the 19th century, because at one point everyone ran as a democratic Republican regardless.
My fear is Biden wins in '24, dies in office, we get President Harris, who is the party pick in '28 and she loses terribly because nobody likes her.
If Thomas and Alito make it to '28, they step down to assure a Republican replaces their seats.
So we get Republicans in 28 and 32, maintaining the 6-3 split, then Roberts and Sotomayor are out, eliminating the reliable swing vote (Roberts) and leaving the court with a 7-2 majority.
we get President Harris, who is the party pick in '28 and she loses terribly because nobody likes her
Why wouldn’t people “like her”? If “nobody likes her” she would get 0% of the primary vote. She will likely be the Dem front runner in 2028, but we will have to see who runs.
100% agree. We need to stop autopicking the next candidate just because they were VP. I don’t hate her, but she hasn’t done anything to stake a claim for the next seat.
The last time a single party held the presidency for more than 12 years was when FDR won 4 times. Prior to that it was civil war reconstruction.
Keeping the white house from 2020-2040 would be the longest single party streak without one president occupying the office more than 8 years. 3 consecutive Democrats would need to win. Ignoring the Democratic Republican steak at the beginning of the 19th century, because at one point everyone ran as a democratic Republican regardless.
My point is, what’s plan b?
My fear is Biden wins in '24, dies in office, we get President Harris, who is the party pick in '28 and she loses terribly because nobody likes her.
If Thomas and Alito make it to '28, they step down to assure a Republican replaces their seats.
So we get Republicans in 28 and 32, maintaining the 6-3 split, then Roberts and Sotomayor are out, eliminating the reliable swing vote (Roberts) and leaving the court with a 7-2 majority.
That’s like a 1% chance.
Why wouldn’t people “like her”? If “nobody likes her” she would get 0% of the primary vote. She will likely be the Dem front runner in 2028, but we will have to see who runs.
Even her own staff hates her:
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/30/kamala-harris-office-dissent-497290
100% agree. We need to stop autopicking the next candidate just because they were VP. I don’t hate her, but she hasn’t done anything to stake a claim for the next seat.
The system does not allow “autopicking”. Either she gets the most votes, or she doesn’t.
Tbf the vice president has not been the candidate since Al Gore, so I don’t think it can be seen as the default.
(Ahem - Biden was VP)
Was Biden the 2016 nomination?
He came back specifically because he was a decent candidate to take Trump down.
And still is.
He was going to be, then Beau died in 2015. :(
!remindme
What if we dust flyover states with MDMA?
Bold of you to assume that we’re not already partying constantly.
Alright maybe just the suburbs
Fuck that flyover states. Send me some of that shit. Dust the capital.
No. MDMA is for real voters.
Take one of those air mover things, pack the inlet full of weed, light it, and hook it up to the Capitol’s HVAC system